Thursday’s NBA schedule options simply two video games, together with the Thunder-Pacers rematch from final yr’s NBA Finals, in addition to the Nuggets vs. Warriors, that includes two of the league’s greatest gamers.
Early on, we’re nonetheless attempting to determine rotations and the way sure gamers will adapt to new settings. However the sportsbooks don’t have the entire solutions but both, and we are able to take a few of what we noticed final season and apply this time round.
For essentially the most half, the groups taking part in tonight haven’t made a ton of wholesale adjustments. Then once more, two of them (the Pacers and Nuggets) are making their respective debuts this season, and we actually don’t know what to anticipate. Significantly, the Pacers, who might be with out Tyrese Haliburton for the whole season.
That is what makes the NBA so thrilling, in that a variety of outcomes can occur any given night time. Let’s check out some conditions we are able to make the most of and hopefully flip them into profitable bets.
What are the Greatest Bets for NBA Video games on Thursday?
Chet Holmgren: Over 7.5 Rebounds (-120)
Indy allowed the opposition’s facilities to haul in 13.1 rebounds per sport final season – 6th most within the NBA. Properly, the Pacers misplaced Myles Turner within the offseason, so issues might get even worse on the glass for the defending Jap Convention champs.
Holmgren completed just below this mark, with seven rebounds, on Tuesday night time; that got here towards a Houston group whose smallest participant within the beginning lineup was 6’7”. In the event you keep in mind again to final yr’s Finals, Holmgren received off to a dreadful begin, however he got here again sturdy with 8+ rebounds in 4 of the final 5 video games towards the Packers.
Pascal Siakam: Over 30.5 Factors + Rebounds + Assists (-120)
We simply noticed OKC in motion on Tuesday, and versatile bigs like Alperen Sengun (39 pts, 11 reb, 7 ast) and Kevin Durant (23 pts, 9 reb, 3 ast) did their factor with out a lot resistance.
As I discussed within the intro, Indy might be with out Haliburton for the season, which leaves Siakam to be the chief of this group. In fact, Indy will get a shot at revenge from final yr’s Finals instantly, including some further motivation to the scenario. Talking of final yr’s Finals, Siakam exceeded 30.5 PRA in 5 of the seven video games within the collection.
Nikola Jokic: Over 11.5 Rebounds (-105)
Jokic has grabbed 12+ rebounds in 14 of his final 17 video games towards the Warriors, who didn’t do a lot within the offseason to enhance down low. To finish final season, Jokic eclipsed this mark in 4 of his final 5 video games.
Golden State didn’t do a lot within the offseason to enhance down low, so I’m anticipating The Joker to come back via on this prop as soon as once more. The Warriors solely have one participant listed at 7’0”, and he performed solely 9 minutes within the opener.
Al Horford: Over 12.5 Factors + Rebounds + Assists (-115)
The Warriors might want to play their bigs a bit extra tonight, going up towards Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon, so this could put Horford on the courtroom lengthy sufficient to money in on this guess. Standing at 6’8”, Horford was the second-tallest man on the roster, subsequent to Quinten Publish (7’0”), however he solely performed 9 minutes and didn’t do a lot together with his time.
In his first motion with the Warriors on Tuesday, Horford performed 20 minutes and posted 11 PRA (5 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast). We should always actually count on these minutes to be nearer to 30 this time round, particularly if guys like Draymond Inexperienced and Jonathan Kuminga discover themselves in foul hassle.
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