The story is starting to unfold within the American League Championship Sequence, and that presents us with some nice prop bets to probe for this Recreation 3 matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners.
With the scene shifting out West for the ALCS, the Mariners have a 2-0 lead heading again residence, the place a rawkus Seattle crowd will likely be on the sting of their seats for every pitch. If the Mariners win two video games, particularly over these subsequent three days, the town of Seattle may have a celebration to compares to none.
Even with nice gamers in its historical past, together with Ken Griffey Jr, Randy Johnson, Alex Rodriguez, Ichiro Suzuki, Felix Hernandez, Edgar Martinez, Jay Buhner – the Mariners have by no means made it to the World Sequence.
After we speak about this Recreation 3 matchup, all of that historical past issues tonight. This metropolis is able to lose its collective voice if it means Seattle will likely be enjoying within the World Sequence. You need to give an enormous edge to Mariners’ hitters and, even the beginning pitcher, George Kirby, who was large within the ALDS Recreation 5 winner-take-all matchup in opposition to the Tigers. Tonight, Kirby will likely be opposed on the mound by Shane Bieber of the Blue Jays.
The Mariners (-135) are the favorites in Recreation 3 of the ALCS hovering round 6.5 to 7 runs, relying which sportsbook you’re looking at. Let’s get into what one of the best prop bets are for tonight’s Mariners-Blue Jays ALCS Recreation 3 matchup:
George Kirby: Below 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-102)
How would you prefer to be George Kirby? On Friday, he made it out alive in a head-to-head matchup in opposition to MLB’s finest pitcher, Tarik Skubal, in a do-or-die scenario. Tonight, he’s on the mound for a recreation that might put his crew in a 3-0 lead, one win away from reaching the World Sequence. No stress in any respect, child.
The excellent news is that we all know Kirby can deal with the stress. Within the ALDS Recreation 5 in opposition to the Tigers, he allowed three hits/one run over 5 innings whereas putting out six earlier than leaving the sport with the lead. And that efficiency wasn’t just a few luck-of-the-draw heroism; Kirby has been at this for weeks. Over his final 5 begins (courting again to the common season), Kirby has gone 5+ innings, whereas permitting two runs or fewer and putting out six in all of them.
Kirby has maxed out at 5 innings in every of his final three begins, giving us fewer possibilities to go over the 1.5 mark.
Randy Arozarena: Over 1.5 Strikeouts (+135)
It is a pure stats-based play, and we’re getting some good odds as well. Arozarena has 9 plate appearances in opposition to Shane Bieber lifetime, putting out in 5 of them.
Even worse, Arozarena has struck out 2+ occasions in 5 of his final six video games, together with every of the final three.
Anthony Santander: Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-115)
As a lot as I like Kirby to close it down tonight, nobody is ideal, and naturally he’s going to surrender just a few hits right here and there. Santander is the almost certainly candidate to have success in opposition to Kirby, simply as he’s executed over his profession, going 6-for-15 with two homers and solely two punchouts.
Santander has eclipsed the 0.5 mark on H/R/RBI in 4 of his final 5 video games, and he’s executed it in 12 of his final 15 conferences in opposition to the Mariners.
