We are able to name Week 5 the quarter-way mark of the NFL season. At this level, groups have every performed 4 video games, bye weeks formally come into play, and now we’ve obtained sufficient knowledge and movie to start out making extra educated guesses on what is going to occur.
As we strategy Sunday afternoon, let’s take an early take a look at these matchups and discover some anomalies within the markets earlier than the strains go in favor of the sportsbooks. It seems like they’re all the time a step forward lately, however trying on the opponents and the way different gamers on the similar place fared will give us some perception into what to anticipate.
The Week 5 slate won’t have as many high-profile video games like we noticed final week – and that’s alright. We all know the Cowboys suck on protection, you may’t run on the Browns, however you actually can towards the Titans.
Let’s see what’s in retailer for Week 5 of the NFL season!
Which Gamers Have the Greatest Matchups in NFL Week 5?
Justin Fields – QB (New York Jets) vs Dallas Cowboys
Prop: Over/Underneath 244.5 Passing + Dashing Yards
It actually is so simple as selecting QBs towards the Cowboys. In any case, this is identical protection that made Russell Wilson appear to be an All-Professional quarterback. Dallas has allowed three straight QBs to throw for at the least 298 yards, however Fields can actually add some yards together with his legs, as evidenced by his 43-yard landing scamper on Monday Evening Soccer final week towards the Dolphins.
Alvin Kamara – RB (New Orleans Saints) vs New York Giants
Prop: Over/Underneath 82.5 Dashing + Receiving Yards
The Saints received’t have many alternatives to notch wins this season, in order that they higher take benefit whereas they’ll – and preserve their star participant joyful within the course of. RBs have had nice success towards the Giants this season, permitting 80+ speeding yards to a few completely different backs; two of them (plus one other) had 30+ receiving yards. Effectively, Kamara can actually do each, and I’d count on him to have a monster day towards the G-Males.
Jaxson Smith-Njigba – WR (Seattle Seahawks) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Prop: Over/Underneath 80.5 Receiving Yards
WR1s have been focused closely towards the Bucs, as guys like Drake London (15), Nico Collins (9), Garrett Wilson (13), and AJ Brown (9) have accomplished some work. I’d count on that pattern to proceed, contemplating how exhausting it’s to run towards Tampa. JSN’s targets have declined incrementally (13, 9, 6, 5) in every of the final 4 weeks, however he has nonetheless put up at the least 79 receiving yards in every recreation this season. Primarily based on the matchup, you need to think about Seattle has additional performs on the decision sheet designed particularly for Smith-Njigba.
Which Gamers Have the Hardest Matchups in NFL Week 5
Baker Mayfield – QB (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at Seattle Seahawks
Prop: Underneath 222.5 Passing Yards
Mayfield and the Bucs go into the NFL’s hardest highway atmosphere, which is already menacing, however they’ll even be doing it with out Mike Evans and presumably Bucky Irving. Within the final three video games, the Seahawks haven’t allowed an opposing QB to throw for greater than 220 yards.
Jordan Mason – RB (Minnesota Vikings) vs Cleveland Browns
Prop: Underneath 66.5 Dashing Yards
Mason attracts the unenviable job of dealing with the Browns’ extremely touted rush protection this week. Jahmyr Gibbs of the Lions lastly broke by way of final week, with 91 yards on the bottom, however that actually hasn’t been the norm on this matchup. Cleveland is permitting an NFL-low 70.3 speeding yards per recreation. Maybe essentially the most mind-boggling quantity is that the Browns’ run protection halted elite RB expertise like Chase Brown, Derrick Henry, and Josh Jacobs to no higher than 2.1 yards per carry in three straight video games earlier than final week.
AJ Brown – WR (Philadelphia Eagles) vs Denver Broncos
Prop: Underneath 57.5 Receiving Yards
Brown will draw a troublesome matchup towards Pat Surtain II, who’s arguably one of the best CB in soccer. With that being mentioned, you need to think about the Eagles lean closely on the run towards the Broncos on Sunday; groups are having much more success on the bottom versus the air. The truth is, Denver has solely allowed one passing TD within the first 4 video games, and an opposing WR1 (Ladd McConkey) has solely maxed out at 41 yards towards Surtain
Which NFL Gamers Will Profit the Most from Accidents in Week 5?
Jalen Waddle – WR (Miami Dolphins) at Carolina Panthers
Prop Wager: Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
Tyreek Hill suffered a knee damage on Monday evening and is out for the season. Waddle instantly turns into the first goal for Tua Tagovialoa on this Dolphins’ offense, and he already had 5+ targets in every of his first 4 video games, however now he will definitely repay in a recreation that’s primarily a decide ’em’ at this level, and this recreation may doubtlessly wind up being a shootout.
Emari Demercado – RB (Arizona Cardinals) vs Tennessee Titans
Prop: Over 20.5 Dashing Yards
With the season-ending damage to James Conner and Trey Benson occurring IR, Demercado goes into Sunday because the Playing cards’ RB1; Michael Carter will get some work as effectively, however that is Demercado’s job to lose. The Titans are the worst crew within the NFL, in order that they discover themselves enjoying from behind lots and anticipating the run. Effectively, they’re nonetheless not doing job of stopping it, permitting 4.8 yards per carry, which ranks T-5th for worst within the league.
Darius Slayton – WR (New York Giants) at New Orleans Saints
Prop: Over 3.5 Receptions
Malik Nabers went down with an ACL damage final week, and that can pressure him to overlook the rest of the season. Within the two video games Nabers missed final season, Slayton stepped as much as the problem with 14 catches (22 targets) for 179 yards and a landing. Rookie QB Jaxson Dart is now the starter, giving Slayton a significantly better probability to see extra balls coming his manner.We’re again for Week 5 of the NFL season to provide the greatest prop bets, based mostly on the matchups and line actions. After 4 video games, we’re beginning to construct some tendencies that can make it simpler for us to establish who we’re focusing on, in addition to who we’re staying the hell away from.
As an example, we now know that working towards the Cleveland Browns mustn’t even be tried. Concentrating on the Dallas Cowboys’ protection has been worthwhile – Russell Wilson set the tone – and the Tennessee Titans may wind up being the worst soccer crew ever assembled.
The Week 5 slate has a couple of groups (Bears, Falcons, Packers, Steelers) on bye weeks, in order that does slim down our decisions just a little greater than the earlier 4 weeks. However that’s alright, we’ve obtained knowledge, movie, all types of crap at our disposal, and we’re going to attempt and ensure that is essentially the most enjoyable you’ve had on a Sunday since Labor Day Weekend.
What are the Greatest Prop Bets for Week 5 NFL Video games?
Daniel Jones – QB (Indianapolis Colts) vs Las Vegas Raiders
Prop Wager: Over 251.5 Passing + Dashing Yards (-115)
The Colts-Raiders matchup itself has some sneaky upside attraction, contemplating the overall has jumped from 44.5 to 47.5 because the open, and the Colts are strong 7.5-point favorites. Enter in the truth that Jones has exceeded this mark of 251.5 whole yards in every of his 4 video games this season, and issues are enjoying proper into his palms.
Las Vegas hasn’t been nice on protection, significantly towards QBs, who’ve exceeded the 251.5 total-yard mark in three of the 4 video games.
David Montgomery – RB (Detroit Lions) at Cincinnati Bengals
Prop Wager: Over 50.5 Dashing Yards (-111)
As double-digit favorites on the highway, you need to think about the Lions are going to manage this matchup towards the Bengals early and sometimes. This may even be an incredible spot to get Montgomery going after a troublesome statistical begin to the season. We have now to chop the man some slack as a result of two of the 4 Lions’ opponents rank within the Prime-5 of speeding defenses.
Effectively, that’s actually the alternative of what Detroit shall be dealing with on Sunday. Cincy has been bullied on the bottom this season, permitting the second-most RB speeding yards (490) and RB speeding makes an attempt (104) – you break that down and it’s 4.7 yards per carry. Given the additional alternatives in prime spots, Montgomery will smash previous the 50.5-yard mark and have his greatest recreation of the season.
Dalton Kincaid – TE (Buffalo Payments) vs New England Patriots
Prop Wager: Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
The sport script is massive right here as a result of, in line with the betting numbers, the Payments may discover themselves in a better recreation towards the Patriots than individuals understand. New England opened as an 8.5-point underdog and has since improved to +7.5, whereas the overall has elevated from 46.5 to 49.5. This, on the very least, units the expectation for an in depth, high-scoring recreation.
Kincaid is in line to ramp up the manufacturing towards dealing with the Patriots, who’ve allowed three TEs to prime the 33.5-yard mark in 4 video games this season. The Payments’ offense has some randomness to it with the WRs, however Kincaid’s function is likely one of the few constants, together with James Prepare dinner at RB. The truth is, Kincaid has lengthy catches within the vary of 18-28 in each recreation this season, so it’s doable that he solely wants 2-3 grabs to get this job accomplished. Kincaid had topped the 34.5-yard in his first three video games earlier than final week’s misnomer, due partly to controlling the clock on a a lot weaker opponent.
