Week 6 of the NFL season is right here, and I’m right here to offer you my greatest bets early within the week.
Many occasions, sportsbooks will change the percentages of their favor as soon as they notice the plenty are heading in a specific path. Whereas it’s unimaginable to foretell their precise actions, we will do our greatest to benefit from some numbers earlier than everybody else catches as much as them.
I’ve recognized fairly a couple of mismatches and areas to focus on right here in Week 6, together with QBs like Justin Fields and Sam Darnold, in addition to a 4-leg TD parlay that may greater than quadruple your funding. Final week’s 4-leg TD parlay got here one leg brief, due to James Cook dinner failing to search out the top zone on Sunday Night time Soccer. I received’t maintain it towards him. Most likely. Perhaps not.
Listed here are one of the best bets for NFL Week 6:
Justin Fields (NYJ) – Beneath 37.5 Speeding Yards (-112)
*Notice: Sport can be performed on Sunday at 9:30 am ET/6:30 am PT
Fields is undoubtedly a really gifted athlete, however he’s going through a horrible matchup on Sunday towards the Broncos.
Denver has confronted 5 QBs this season – Cam Ward, Daniel Jones, Justin Herbert, Jake Browning, and Jalen Hurts. I feel we’d all agree there are some dashing yards available amongst that group; they’ve a mixed 15 dashing yards towards the Broncos this season.
That is going to be an extended day for the Jets’ offense, and a secret caveat right here is that Fields may get benched if he will get off to a gradual begin. New York appeared nice in Week 3 with Tyrod Taylor underneath middle, so this case may be very advantageous to us in a couple of methods.
Sam Darnold (SEA) – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110)
I think about the percentages will begin going towards the bettors for this wager, so get this one in early. As of Wednesday, the Seahawks-Jags whole is sitting pat at 46.5 factors, and the most important bets-to-money differential on your entire Week 6 board resides right here – ~67% of bets to the underneath, ~82% of the cash to the over.
That is nice information for prop bettors on this recreation, as we’ll seemingly get a back-and-forth shootout. It wasn’t the case on Monday night time, however the Jags had scored the primary TD in every of their first 4 video games, and that might very effectively be the case once more with the Jags coming East for an early 1 pm recreation.
If this recreation script holds true to type, Darnold can be compelled into extra passing conditions, and he already has 2+ passing TDs in three of his final 4 video games. Due to their stout run protection, the Jags face the second-most go makes an attempt per recreation (39.4) and have allowed the fifth-most completions (24.5) and passing yards (260.4) per recreation.
A 4-Leg NFL Landing Parlay for week 6: JK Dobbins, Javonte Williams, Jonathan Taylor, Josh Jacobs (+450)
Effectively, I actually didn’t plan it like this, however we’ve acquired 4 RBs in prime place to search out pay dust – and all of their names start with a “J”. That’s future, people!
Be sure you get this one in early as a result of all of it begins with Dobbins taking over the Jets throughout the pond at 9:30 am ET. The Broncos are 7.5-point favorites, and this recreation script units up completely for Dobbins, who has a TD in 4 of his final 5 video games. New York has allowed an RB TD in all however one in every of its 5 video games this season.
Williams finds himself in a recreation with a complete that’s quickly growing, going from the opening 46.5 to now 49.5, and it must be much more aggressive than individuals notice. In all three of Dallas’ one-score video games, Williams has gotten at the least 64% of the staff’s carries, and he’s been closely concerned within the passing recreation as effectively. The Panthers have allowed three RB TDs of their final two video games, and Williams is available in with six TDs already on the younger season.
Taylor has two video games of three+ TDs in his final three tries, and he’s averaging 72% of the carries within the Colts’ backfield over his final 4 video games. The Cardinals have been first rate towards the run, however Taylor may be helpful within the passing recreation, as he’s snagged 3+ receptions in all however one recreation this season. Indy is a sizeable 6.5-point favourite, and Arizona has allowed 4 RB TDs in 5 video games.
Lastly, Jacobs goals for a putrid Bengals’ protection that has a few of the NFL’s worst metrics towards the run. Cincy has already allowed eight RB TDs this season, and Jacobs has scored a TD in 9 of his final 10 video games – the one misnomer being a matchup towards the elite Browns run protection.
